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Bicentennial house, Williamstown, Massachusetts.  
Scenario planning, with its quadrant system typically used, ends up being somewhat of a black-or-white analysis — intentionally. But this method is careful to note that after such analysis, that reality may be much more blended.  

2020: The Role of Preservation in Fifteen Years

Scenario Planning

For starters, it is useful to look at sceario planning [defined at Wikipedia], a tool used primariy for businesses, but also applicable to the scenarios of community, a nation, and the world. Start with Wilkinson's How to Build Scenarios, and proceed.

  • Successful Scenario Planning, Janus [Download as PDF file.]
  •  Ogilvy, Jay and Erik Smith. Mapping Public and Private Scenario Planning: Lessons from Regional Projects, Global Business Network, December 2004 [Download here as 260 KB PDF file.]
  • Wilkinson, Lawrence. How to Build Scenarios, Wired Magazine
  • van der Heijden. Kees. Scenarios, Strategy and the Strategy Process. Global Business Network, August 1997 [Download here.]  
  • Schwartz, Peter and Jay Ogilvy. Plotting Your Scenarios: An Introduction to the Art and Process of Scenario Planning, Scenario Thinking, Global Business Network, December 2004 [Download here as 1.1 MB PDF file] Read summary. Download PDF file and skim.
  • Fahey, Liam and Robert M. Randall, editors. Learning from the Future: Competitive Foresight Scenarios. Jossey-Bass, 1997 [View at Jossey-Bass.] Summary by publisher.
  • Ogilvy, James A. Creating Better Futures: Scenario Planning As a Tool for A Better Tomorrow. Oxord University Press, 2002. [View on Amazon.]
  • Global Management Thinking Articles, Greater Viability.


IIn preservation, and even more so in the very profession itself, plannign refers to specific such as Urban Planning, Regional Planning, Comprehensive Planning — all sorts of planning specific to the profession, but, frequently (and especially historically), with little congruity, or usefulness to the process of planning, the capacity of decisionmakers, and the involvement of stakeholders. Keep this in mind when looking through the "planning toolbox".

Mapping the Global Future: Report of The National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project, Central Intelligence Agency  

Varied Perspectives

"Winner write our history." Do planners write our future? Who plans? Why? Look at various perscpectives (ideologies, etc.) of planning. Are the "planning" futures in conguity with the "big-scope", more global, futures.

The Future, Today

[Articles to be provided by email.]


In tandem with your essay for Issue 1 2020, prepare a new résumé — this time as written in the year 2020.